Detect Your Probability Neglect Bias

A situational quiz to determine how prone you are to neglecting probability in decision-making.

Question 1 of 7Version: 1.0

A landscaping service offers you a maintenance contract that can prevent any potential damages from freak storms at a small cost. The probability of such a storm occurring is 1%. Do you sign up for it?

Definitely, better safe than sorry.

Maybe, but I'll need to consider other factors like budget.

No, the probability is too low to invest in it.

Only if the storm has a significant chance of causing enormous damage.