Hot-Hand Fallacy Situational Quiz

Assess your susceptibility to the hot-hand fallacy through various real-world scenarios.

Question 1 of 7Version: 1.0

You're watching a poker game and notice a player has won the last three hands in succession. How do you think they will perform in the next hand?

They're likely to win again because they're on a roll.

Their chances of winning are the same as before.

They will probably lose since everyone gets lucky sometimes.

Performance is complex, but recent wins suggest some momentum.